A
9 4 
8 6Lead
J 6 4 3
A K 5 3Where can we get
the 9th?
K 7 5
2 A Q A K
8 2 8 6 4| Chance |
Chance
of success |
| 3 - 3 split
of 6 cards |
33% |
| 4 - 2 split
of 6 cards |
46% |
| 3 - 2 split
of 5 cards |
68% |
| Finesse (no
outside knowledge |
50% |
| Dropping the
Queen with only 4 cards out |
52% |
| A
9 4 |
Contract |
3 NT | |
| 8 6 |
Opening Lead |
5 | |
| J 6 4 3 |
|||
| A K 5 3 |
Hint: I see 8
tricks. Where can we get the 9th? | ||
| Spades could break 3-3 (33%) |
|||
| K 7 5
2 |
Clubs could break 3-3 (33%) |
||
| A Q |
Diamonds could break 3-2 (68%) AND the Q diamonds might be doubleton OR West might have Q Diamonds (50%) |
||
| A K
8 2 |
|||
| 8 6 4 |
|||
| Win
the heart lead and then take the A K of diamonds. If the Q
diamonds does not fal, lead low diamond toward the J in dummy. If
either West has the Q or diamonds are 3-2 we are home free. That
line is about a 90% combined. |
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