the lead without losing too many
tricks. There
are 2 finesses but ...| Ploy |
Chance
of success |
| 3 - 3 split
of 6 cards |
33% |
| 4 - 2 split
of 6 cards |
46% |
| 3 - 2 split
of 5 cards |
68% |
| Finesse (no
outside knowledge |
50% |
| Dropping the
Queen with only 4 cards out |
52% |
|
8
5 |
Contract 3 NT |
|
|
A
8 7 |
||
|
A
J 7 5 |
Lead:
4 |
|
|
K
J 7 3 |
||
| Sure
Tricks |
|||
|
K
6 |
1
|
|
|
Q
J 4 |
1
|
|
|
K
4 3 2 |
2
|
|
|
A
Q 6 4 |
4
|
|
| We need 1 more trick
to make the contract but clearly cannot lose the lead without losing too many tricks. There
are 2 finesses but ... |
|||